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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Swansea logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Swansea

Ayala (89')
Thomas (15'), Travis (45'), Ayala (90+4'), Dolan (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Latibeaudiere (51'), Fulton (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackpool
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Swansea City

Blackburn are still within touching distance of the top six but need to start turning regular draws into regular wins if they are to finish in the playoffs, with a home tie with Swansea a good opportunity to begin such a run. Swansea narrowly beat Blackpool in the week, but Ewood Park on Saturday will be a harder test which we believe they will not be able to be successful in. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawSwansea City
26.77% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 24.86% (0.0010000000000012 0) 48.36% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.87% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.79% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (-0.029 -0.03)70.89% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)32.48% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)69.01% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (0.0020000000000095 0)20.21% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.52% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 26.77%
    Swansea City 48.36%
    Draw 24.86%
Blackburn RoversDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 7.38%
2-1 @ 6.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 26.77%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 8.39% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 48.36%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Swansea

Blackburn Rovers
59.0%
Draw
23.1%
Swansea City
17.9%
39
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Swansea
0-3
Blackburn

Fulton (20'), Piroe (31'), Obafemi (86')
Szmodics (39'), Brereton Diaz (57'), Travis (84')
Gallagher (35')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Swansea
1-0
Blackburn
Obafemi (16')
Ntcham (37'), Manning (38'), Christie (90+1')
Manning (53')

Rothwell (24'), Buckley (33')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
2-1
Swansea
Gallagher (36'), Brereton Diaz (48' pen.)
Pickering (18'), Buckley (79'), Ayala (82'), Rothwell (90+2')
Paterson (52')
Latibeaudiere (40'), Cabango (88')
Mar 9, 2021 6pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-0
Blackburn
Cabango (25'), Ayew (61')
Ayew (19'), Bidwell (30'), Cabango (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Broncos
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Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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