MX23RW : Tuesday, January 7 07:21:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Norwich logo

Watford
3 - 2
Norwich

Kone (30'), Rajovic (33'), Asprilla (77')
Livermore (18')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Batth (3'), Ui-jo (12')
Stacey (35'), Duffy (64'), Sainz (90+4'), Giannoulis (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Watford
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

Norwich City

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 QPR
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Norwich City

 Watford were arguably too passive against league leaders Leicester on the weekend, and the home supporters at Vicarage Road will be demanding their men come out of the blocks quickly against Norwich. The Canaries were unconvincing during their victory over strugglers QPR on Saturday, and we cannot imagine Wagner recording three successive wins considering the current mood in East Anglia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.67%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawNorwich City
54.67% (0.522 0.52) 22.29% (-0.261 -0.26) 23.04% (-0.265 -0.27)
Both teams to score 58.49% (0.56 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.15% (0.897 0.9)40.84% (-0.89899999999999 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.76% (0.90900000000001 0.91)63.23% (-0.911 -0.91)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1% (0.485 0.48)14.9% (-0.487 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.74% (0.919 0.92)43.26% (-0.921 -0.92)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (0.267 0.27)31.27% (-0.269 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (0.309 0.31)67.62% (-0.31099999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Watford 54.67%
    Norwich City 23.04%
    Draw 22.29%
WatfordDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.102 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.071 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 54.67%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 23.04%

How you voted: Watford vs Norwich

Watford
56.5%
Draw
10.9%
Norwich City
32.6%
46
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0-1
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> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
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2-1
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Louza (18'), Davis (31')
Sargent (45')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
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Dennis (36')
Dennis (78')
Sargent (51', 74'), Kucka (90+2' og.)
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> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
1-3
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Pukki (35')
Williams (90+5')
Dennis (17'), Sarr (63', 80')
Cathcart (37')
> Match Report
Apr 20, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 43
Norwich
0-1
Watford
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920
> Championship Full Table


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