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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Norwich logo

Cardiff
2 - 3
Norwich

Bowler (39'), Robinson (43')
Grant (12'), Wintle (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fassnacht (22'), Wintle (82' og.), Idah (84')
Nunez (45'), Gibbs (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Cardiff
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-3 Blackburn
Sunday, November 5 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Norwich City

With Norwich still possessing a talented attacking unit, they should not be ruled out from causing a surprise in South Wales. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the home side, whose excellent home form cannot be ignored, and Cardiff could run out victors by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawNorwich City
42.09% (1.375 1.38) 26.54% (0.452 0.45) 31.37% (-1.828 -1.83)
Both teams to score 51.36% (-2.048 -2.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.65% (-2.357 -2.36)53.35% (2.357 2.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.11% (-2.031 -2.03)74.89% (2.03 2.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (-0.349 -0.35)25.07% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (-0.488 -0.49)59.75% (0.488 0.49)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (-2.404 -2.4)31.45% (2.404 2.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (-2.875 -2.88)67.83% (2.875 2.88)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 42.08%
    Norwich City 31.37%
    Draw 26.54%
Cardiff CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.9% (0.87 0.87)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.534 0.53)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.213 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.704 0.7)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.311 -0.31)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.244 0.24)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.371 -0.37)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.346 -0.35)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.262 -0.26)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Norwich

Cardiff City
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Norwich City
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Norwich
2-0
Cardiff
Sara (33'), Marquinhos (37')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff
1-0
Norwich
Sawyers (49')
Kipre (44'), O'Dowda (54'), Ralls (69'), Ng (69'), Rinomhota (69')
Ng (73')

Hanley (68')
Hanley (85')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Cardiff
1-2
Norwich
Ralls (65')
Bacuna (34'), Pack (54'), Hoilett (57'), Wilson (89')
Pack (70')
Hanley (3'), Cantwell (22')
Dec 19, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Norwich
2-0
Cardiff
Buendia (27'), Cantwell (70')

Nelson (54'), Ojo (57'), Bacuna (82'), Wilson (90+5')
Aug 28, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Cardiff
1-3
Norwich
Ecuele Manga (77')
Richards (40'), Damour (73')
Srbeny (26', 64'), Aarons (69')
Stiepermann (29'), Aarons (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Bristol City216962626027
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
23Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317


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