Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Yifang win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Yifang win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Yifang would win this match.