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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5
Jun 20, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Yuexiushan Stadium

Guangzhou City
2 - 4
Zhejiang

Gong (54'), Tixiang (76')
Gong (51'), Zhang (55'), Fu (56')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Andrijasevic (6', 31'), Cheng (24'), Ewolo (50')
Zhang (71'), Yao (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Zhejiang Professional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guangzhou City 0-3 Henan
Wednesday, June 15 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Dalian Pro 1-1 Zhejiang
Thursday, June 16 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

We said: Guangzhou City 0-1 Zhejiang Professional

There does not look to be too much between these two struggling sides ahead of Monday's encounter, meaning a dull game of football could well be played out. Goals are not to be expected, with three being scored between the two sides across their opening four games each, so one goal might be enough to nick all three points, and Zhejiang look the most likely to inflict the killer blow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou CityDrawZhejiang Professional
21.2% (0.377 0.38) 23.83% (0.13 0.13) 54.97% (-0.505 -0.51)
Both teams to score 50.93% (0.136 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)49.67% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.31% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)71.69% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07% (0.33300000000001 0.33)37.93% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.3% (0.321 0.32)74.7% (-0.318 -0.32)
Zhejiang Professional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.21799999999999 -0.22)17.94% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (-0.375 -0.38)48.77% (0.377 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou City 21.2%
    Zhejiang Professional 54.97%
    Draw 23.83%
Guangzhou CityDrawZhejiang Professional
1-0 @ 6.6% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 5.49% (0.079 0.08)
2-0 @ 3.2% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.78% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.03% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 21.2%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 11.69% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 10.04% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.58% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.47% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 54.97%

How you voted: Guangzhou City vs Zhejiang

Guangzhou City
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Zhejiang Professional
50.0%
12
rhs 2.0
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