Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou R&F win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Tianjin Tianhai had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Tianjin Tianhai win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.