Community Shield | Final
Aug 6, 2023 at 4pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Arsenal1 - 1Man City
The Match
Match Report
Arsenal win the Community Shield for the 17th time with a 4-1 penalty-shootout win over Premier League champions Manchester City following a 1-1 draw at Wembley.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Community Shield clash between Arsenal and Manchester City.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Community Shield clash between Arsenal and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Community Shield clash with Manchester City.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Community Shield clash with Arsenal.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Monaco (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 2 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Wednesday, August 2 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man City 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, July 30 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Sunday, July 30 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arsenal | Draw | Manchester City |
41.49% ( 2.3) | 23.19% ( 0.65) | 35.32% ( -2.94) |
Both teams to score 64.28% ( -2.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |