MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 13:43:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Real Valladolid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Valladolid
1 - 3
Athletic Bilbao

Larin (74')
Sanchez (6'), Larin (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (30'), Guruzeta (57'), Vesga (78' pen.)
Berchiche (23'), Vesga (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 1-1 Valladolid
Saturday, March 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

These two teams have not shared the points at the home of Real Valladolid since February 2013, but we are backing a stalemate on Friday night. Athletic's recent form has been disappointing, so it is difficult to back them to win, and Real Valladolid certainly have enough about them to claim a share of the spoils in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAthletic Bilbao
32.69% (0.25 0.25) 28.68% (0.15 0.15) 38.63% (-0.401 -0.4)
Both teams to score 45.49% (-0.368 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.06% (-0.48 -0.48)60.94% (0.48 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.05% (-0.362 -0.36)80.95% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)34.47% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (-0.081999999999997 -0.08)71.18% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (-0.47699999999999 -0.48)30.59% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.18% (-0.567 -0.57)66.82% (0.568 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 32.68%
    Athletic Bilbao 38.63%
    Draw 28.67%
Real ValladolidDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 32.68%
1-1 @ 13.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.54% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.67%
0-1 @ 12.48% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.4% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.075 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 38.63%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Valladolid
31.8%
Draw
27.3%
Athletic Bilbao
40.9%
88
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7pm
Apr 28, 2021 6pm
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Valladolid
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Orellana (19' pen.), Maranhao (48')
Hervias (38'), Alcaraz (66'), Masip (71'), Garcia Carnero (90+1')
Williams (86' pen.)
Simon (17'), Muniain (66')
Mar 8, 2020 1pm
Valladolid
1-4
Athletic Bilbao
Ramirez (76')
Ben Arfa (90')
Lopez (4'), Garcia (24'), Williams (87'), Cordoba (90')
Lopez (49'), Garcia (80')
Oct 20, 2019 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Valladolid
Williams (33')
Alvarez (58'), Aduriz (79')
Martinez (71' og.)
Salisu (38'), Borja (75'), Masip (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!