Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Irunea))
Osasuna0 - 2Real Sociedad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Osasuna
Thursday, January 11 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Thursday, January 11 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Osasuna 1-2 Real Sociedad
Having suffered their first defeat of the year last time out, Osasuna and Sociedad will head into Wednesday's game looking to bounce back and pick up a morale-boosting result. Alguacil's men are currently on a fine run of results at the El Sadar Stadium and we fancy them coming out on top once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Real Sociedad |
30.95% ( 0.84) | 28.13% ( 0.55) | 40.91% ( -1.39) |
Both teams to score 46.52% ( -1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.57% ( -1.69) | 59.42% ( 1.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.2% ( -1.31) | 79.8% ( 1.31) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.08% ( -0.27) | 34.91% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.34% ( -0.28) | 71.65% ( 0.28) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.47% ( -1.56) | 28.52% ( 1.56) |