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Osauna logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Irunea))
Real Sociedad logo

Osasuna
0 - 2
Real Sociedad


Arrasate (33'), Garcia (55'), Fernandez (90+6')
Catena (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oyarzabal (57' pen.), Merino (90+7')
Magunacelaya (75'), Le Normand (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Osasuna and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Osasuna
Thursday, January 11 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana

We said: Osasuna 1-2 Real Sociedad

Having suffered their first defeat of the year last time out, Osasuna and Sociedad will head into Wednesday's game looking to bounce back and pick up a morale-boosting result. Alguacil's men are currently on a fine run of results at the El Sadar Stadium and we fancy them coming out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawReal Sociedad
30.95% (0.842 0.84) 28.13% (0.546 0.55) 40.91% (-1.389 -1.39)
Both teams to score 46.52% (-1.212 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.57% (-1.688 -1.69)59.42% (1.688 1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.2% (-1.313 -1.31)79.8% (1.314 1.31)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)34.91% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34% (-0.284 -0.28)71.65% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47% (-1.56 -1.56)28.52% (1.562 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69% (-2.002 -2)64.3% (2.001 2)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 30.94%
    Real Sociedad 40.91%
    Draw 28.13%
OsasunaDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.568 0.57)
2-1 @ 6.92% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.266 0.27)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 30.94%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.617 0.62)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 12.49% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.268 -0.27)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 40.91%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Real Sociedad

Osasuna
27.8%
Draw
11.4%
Real Sociedad
60.8%
79
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Osasuna
1-1
Real Sociedad
Gomez (2')
Catena (58'), Budimir (61'), Garcia (86')
Sadiq (41')
Tierney (49'), Kubo (64'), Le Normand (84')
Apr 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 32
Osasuna
0-2
Real Sociedad
Herrera (6' og.), Kubo (90')
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Real Sociedad
2-0
Osasuna
Mendez (22'), Sorloth (64')
Feb 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Real Sociedad
1-0
Osasuna
Elustondo (52')

Cruz (8'), Vidal (90+1'), Angel (90+6'), Torres (90+7')
Nov 7, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
Osasuna
0-2
Real Sociedad
Merino (72'), Januzaj (82' pen.)
Rico (28'), Zubimendi (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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