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Valencia logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 17, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Celta Vigo logo

Valencia
1 - 3
Celta Vigo

Pepelu (29' pen.)
Gasiorowski (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
de la Torre (13'), Douvikas (18' pen., 80')
Vazquez (48'), Swedberg (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 1-4 Valencia
Sunday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-0 Celta Vigo

As Celta Vigo tend to struggle on the road, Valencia can continue their revival by securing a spot in the Copa del Rey's last eight. The hosts possess more squad depth and young talent than their visitors, who are more concerned with events at the wrong end of La Liga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
41.75% (0.195 0.2) 27.3% (-0.103 -0.1) 30.95% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.9% (0.265 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.58% (0.35100000000001 0.35)56.42% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.57% (0.282 0.28)77.43% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (0.267 0.27)26.65% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11% (0.35 0.35)61.89% (-0.349 -0.35)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (0.11799999999999 0.12)33.33% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04% (0.127 0.13)69.96% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 41.74%
    Celta Vigo 30.95%
    Draw 27.3%
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.77% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.95%

How you voted: Valencia vs Celta Vigo

Valencia
74.0%
Draw
14.3%
Celta Vigo
11.7%
77
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Valencia
0-0
Celta Vigo
Amallah (77'), Pepelu (87'), Guillamon (90+2')
Cervi (71'), Nunez (79')
May 14, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 34
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Seferovic (60')
Kluivert (8'), Mari (88')
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Valencia
3-0
Celta Vigo
Castillejo (37'), Maranhao (82'), Almeida (90+3')
May 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')
rhs 2.0
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