La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Cadiz1 - 4Valencia
We said: Cadiz 1-2 Valencia
Valencia have the winning habit at the moment, and the visitors will fancy their chances of putting another victory on the board this weekend. Cadiz are certainly better than what they have shown this season, but we are finding it difficult to back them to avoid defeat in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Valencia |
28.61% ( -0.21) | 29.17% ( -0.02) | 42.21% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 42.79% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.41% ( -0.02) | 63.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.11% ( -0.01) | 82.89% ( 0.01) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.98% ( -0.18) | 39.01% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.26% ( -0.17) | 75.73% ( 0.17) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( 0.12) | 29.83% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.09% ( 0.15) | 65.91% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Cadiz 28.61%
Valencia 42.21%
Draw 29.17%
| Cadiz | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 28.61% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 14.07% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 42.21% |
How you voted: Cadiz vs Valencia
Cadiz
13.8%Draw
19.0%Valencia
67.2%58
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 1pm
Jan 6, 2023 8pm
