MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 07:44:59| >> :60:3574:3574:
Copa Libertadores | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Arsenio Erico

Nacional
vs.
Alianza Lima

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Club Nacional and Alianza Lima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Nacional

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Nacional
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Alianza Lima

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fluminense 3-2 Alianza Lima
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 46.41%. A draw has a probability of 29% and a win for Club Nacional has a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Club Nacional win it is 1-0 (10.22%).

Result
Club NacionalDrawAlianza Lima
24.59%29.01%46.41%
Both teams to score 40.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.11%64.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.19%83.81%
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.69%43.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.45%79.55%
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8%28.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1%63.9%
Score Analysis
    Club Nacional 24.59%
    Alianza Lima 46.41%
    Draw 29%
Club NacionalDrawAlianza Lima
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 5.41%
2-0 @ 4.28%
3-1 @ 1.51%
3-0 @ 1.19%
3-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 24.59%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 12.21%
2-2 @ 3.43%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29%
0-1 @ 15.46%
0-2 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-3 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.31%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 46.41%

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