Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Alianza Lima1 - 1Fluminense
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 LDU Quito
Friday, March 1 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Friday, March 1 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alianza Lima | Draw | Fluminense |
47.69% ( 0.31) | 25.88% ( -0.47) | 26.43% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( 1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
