Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.