Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Lazio
Friday, April 19 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Friday, April 19 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 2-2 Juventus
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Lazio 1-1 Juventus (Juventus win 3-1 on aggregate)
Lazio are certainly capable of turning this tie around, but it is a huge ask, and we are finding it difficult to imagine Juventus suffering a comfortable loss in this contest. We are backing a 1-1 draw on the night, which would see the Old Lady advance to the final courtesy of a 3-1 aggregate success. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Juventus |
38.31% ( -0.06) | 27.81% ( 0) | 33.88% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
