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Czech Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Vsesportovni stadion

Hradec Kralove
1 - 3
Sparta Prague

Pilar (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Karabec (15', 34'), Kuchta (71')
Olatunji (11'), Wiesner (69')
Olatunji (20')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between Hradec Kralove and Sparta Prague.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pardubice 1-1 Hradec Kralove
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-1 Sparta Prague
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hradec Kralove had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Hradec Kralove win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
Hradec KraloveDrawSparta Prague
21.74% (-0.334 -0.33) 23.12% (-0.215 -0.22) 55.13% (0.541 0.54)
Both teams to score 53.91% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.91% (0.52999999999999 0.53)46.08% (-0.539 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.61% (0.5 0.5)68.38% (-0.509 -0.51)
Hradec Kralove Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.87% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)72.13% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42% (0.381 0.38)16.58% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.62% (0.685 0.68)46.37% (-0.695 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Hradec Kralove 21.74%
    Sparta Prague 55.12%
    Draw 23.12%
Hradec KraloveDrawSparta Prague
1-0 @ 6.1% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-1 @ 5.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.17% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.1% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 21.74%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.47% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.89% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.67% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.65% (0.075 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.073 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.038 0.04)
1-5 @ 0.95% (0.039 0.04)
0-5 @ 0.92% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 55.12%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Slavia PragueSlavia Prague1412203352838
2Viktoria PlzenPlzen1510322591633
3Banik OstravaBanik Ostrava158342617927
4Sparta Prague158342719827
5FK Baumit JablonecJablonec1573521101124
6Bohemians 1905155551820-220
7FC SlovackoSlovacko145541016-620
8Mlada Boleslav154742219319
9Sigma OlomoucOlomouc135441919019
10Hradec Kralove155461212019
11MFK Karvina145451621-519
12Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec144552018217
13Teplice154292027-714
14Pardubice143291321-811
15Dukla Prague1532101129-1811
16Ceske Budejovice140212536-312


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