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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Lazio
1 - 1
Atalanta

Dele-Bashiru (27')
Zaccagni (69'), Rovella (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brescianini (88')
Hien (34'), Cuadrado (69'), Lookman (90'), Lookman (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Lazio
Saturday, December 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 Empoli
Sunday, December 22 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-2 Atalanta BC

 Very few teams get the better of Lazio on home turf, so Atalanta's long winning run may finally be brought to a halt. Both sides like to get on the front foot, so it could be an entertaining contest at Stadio Olimpico, where the points will ultimately be shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
26.25% (0.483 0.48) 24.3% (0.169 0.17) 49.46% (-0.65 -0.65)
Both teams to score 55.24% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.23% (-0.35100000000001 -0.35)46.77% (0.353 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.97% (-0.33 -0.33)69.03% (0.33 0.33)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (0.199 0.2)31.83% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (0.228 0.23)68.27% (-0.227 -0.23)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)18.96% (0.395 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51% (-0.659 -0.66)50.49% (0.66099999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 26.25%
    Atalanta BC 49.45%
    Draw 24.29%
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 6.91% (0.139 0.14)
2-1 @ 6.58% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.1 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.51% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 26.25%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 10.03% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.29% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.2% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 49.45%

How you voted: Lazio vs Atalanta

Lazio
22.5%
Draw
20.7%
Atalanta BC
56.8%
169
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
3-1
Lazio
Pasalic (16'), De Ketelaere (43' pen., 76')
Pasalic (9'), Piero Gasperini (10'), Ederson (78')
Immobile (84' pen.)
Alberto (45+1'), Anderson (45'), Rovella (47')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Lazio
3-2
Atalanta
De Ketelaere (5' og.), Castellanos (11'), Vecino (83')
Vecino (84')
Sarri (86')
Ederson (33'), Kolasinac (63')
Ruggeri (79')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Lazio
0-2
Atalanta
Zappacosta (23'), Hojlund (65')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 11
Atalanta
0-2
Lazio
Zaccagni (10'), Anderson (52')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lazio
0-0
Atalanta
Pezzella (33'), Zappacosta (39'), Toloi (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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