We said: Lazio 2-2 Atalanta BC
Very few teams get the better of Lazio on home turf, so Atalanta's long winning run may finally be brought to a halt.
Both sides like to get on the front foot, so it could be an entertaining contest at Stadio Olimpico, where the points will ultimately be shared.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.48) 
-0.65) 
