Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.