MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 14:00:19| >> :120:3871:3871:
Celtic logo
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Celtic Park
Leipzig logo

Celtic
3 - 1
RB Leipzig

Kuhn (35', 45+1'), Hatate (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Baumgartner (23')
Sesko (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Celtic and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 6-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, November 2 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Celtic 1-2 RB Leipzig

Two teams that like to get on the front foot should provide an entertaining spectacle, but Leipzig's defence is more watertight and could keep Celtic at arm's length. Defeat would not be a disaster for the Scottish champions, but victory is surely essential for their visitors, who will therefore play to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawRB Leipzig
61.66% (0.33799999999999 0.34) 19.85% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 18.5% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 59.86% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.28% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)35.73% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.21% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)57.8% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (0.070999999999998 0.07)11.19% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.3% (0.14100000000001 0.14)35.7% (-0.134 -0.13)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (-0.316 -0.32)32.61% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86% (-0.358 -0.36)69.15% (0.36500000000001 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 61.66%
    RB Leipzig 18.5%
    Draw 19.85%
CelticDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.39% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.92% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.026 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 61.66%
1-1 @ 8.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.65% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 5.02% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 18.5%

How you voted: Celtic vs RB Leipzig

Celtic
27.5%
Draw
15.7%
RB Leipzig
56.7%
363
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Celtic
0-2
RB Leipzig
Werner (75'), Forsberg (84')
Oct 5, 2022 5.45pm
Group Stage
RB Leipzig
3-1
Celtic
Nkunku (27'), Silva (64', 77')
Jota (47')
Nov 8, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Celtic
2-1
RB Leipzig
Tierney (11'), Edouard (79')
Benkovic (35'), Tierney (52')
Augustin (79')
Augustin (17'), Halstenberg (44'), Laimer (55'), Sabitzer (63')
Oct 25, 2018 5.55pm
Group Stage
RB Leipzig
2-0
Celtic
Cunha (31'), Bruma (35')
Ilsanker (65'), Laimer (89')

Boyata (86')
rhs 2.0
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5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
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20Southampton2213181550-356


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