Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.