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EFL Cup
Mansfield Town
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Peterborough United

Mansfield
2 - 2
Peterborough

Swan (5' pen.), Akins (90+3' pen.)
Reed (29'), Flint (87')
FT
(aet)
Clarke-Harris (30', 46')
Collins (4'), Burrows (68'), Mason-Clark (87')
Mansfield win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Mansfield Town and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

Peterborough United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Peterborough
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One

We say: Mansfield Town 2-1 Peterborough United

 Although Mansfield may be plying their trade in the league below, they demonstrated in their penalty-shootout win over Sheffield Wednesday that they can compete with teams in the higher divisions. Having won four of their five home matches this term, we think that the hosts will utilise home advantage to claim a narrow victory over Peterborough on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%).

Result
Mansfield TownDrawPeterborough United
51.29% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46) 22.7% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 26.01% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 60.48% (0.38999999999999 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25% (0.315 0.31)39.75% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89% (0.328 0.33)62.1% (-0.328 -0.33)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)15.65% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)44.68% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (0.501 0.5)28.3% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (0.626 0.63)64.02% (-0.62599999999999 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 51.29%
    Peterborough United 26.01%
    Draw 22.69%
Mansfield TownDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.062 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.077 0.08)
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 26.01%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Peterborough

Mansfield Town
64.0%
Draw
12.0%
Peterborough United
24.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2007 3pm
Mansfield
2-0
Peterborough
Boulding (35', 61')

McLean (20'), Morgan (45'), Blackett (90')
Sep 9, 2007 3pm
Peterborough
2-1
Mansfield
Low (29'), Crow (75')
Charnock (6'), McLean (89')
McAliskey (53')
Bullock (60'), Jelleyman (85')
Apr 9, 2007 3pm
Peterborough
2-0
Mansfield
White (89'), Mackail-Smith (87')
Futcher (63')

Conlon (32')
Nov 18, 2006 3pm
Mansfield
0-2
Peterborough
Crow (67'), McLean (39')
Dec 17, 2005 3pm
Mansfield
0-0
Peterborough
Coke (90')
Burton-Godwin (90')
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