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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
55.87% ( 1.62) | 22.9% ( -0.15) | 21.23% ( -1.46) |
Both teams to score 53.9% ( -1.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.25% ( -1.06) | 45.76% ( 1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.93% ( -1.01) | 68.07% ( 1.02) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.8% ( 0.19) | 16.21% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.3% ( 0.34) | 45.7% ( -0.34) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.32% ( -1.97) | 35.68% ( 1.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.55% ( -2.09) | 72.45% ( 2.09) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.3% Total : 55.86% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |