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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Peterborough
3 - 0
Cheltenham

Burrows (54'), Clarke-Harris (61'), Kioso (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Cheltenham Town

While Peterborough may be experiencing a poor run of results, we think that they will prove too strong for a Cheltenham side bereft of confidence after losing six of their opening seven league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
55.87% (1.622 1.62) 22.9% (-0.152 -0.15) 21.23% (-1.463 -1.46)
Both teams to score 53.9% (-1.526 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (-1.055 -1.06)45.76% (1.063 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-1.012 -1.01)68.07% (1.019 1.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (0.193 0.19)16.21% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (0.343 0.34)45.7% (-0.336 -0.34)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32% (-1.969 -1.97)35.68% (1.977 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55% (-2.086 -2.09)72.45% (2.094 2.09)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 55.86%
    Cheltenham Town 21.23%
    Draw 22.9%
Peterborough UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.528 0.53)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.58% (0.541 0.54)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.363 0.36)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.18 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.257 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21.23%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Cheltenham

Peterborough United
71.4%
Draw
21.4%
Cheltenham Town
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Peterborough
0-3
Cheltenham
Bradbury (15'), May (21', 74')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cheltenham
2-3
Peterborough
Kent (30' og.), May (39')
Jackson (48'), Freestone (89')
Marriott (59'), Clarke-Harris (66', 72')
Fuchs (45+1'), Kent (61')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
Dec 28, 2008 3pm
Cheltenham
3-6
Peterborough
Vincent (48' pen.), Hammond (67'), Owusu (86')
Ridley (58')
Hayles (90')
Wright (75' og.), Whelpdale (90'), Lee (60'), Boyd (3'), Mackail-Smith (63'), McLean (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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