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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Peterborough
3 - 0
Cheltenham

Burrows (54'), Clarke-Harris (61'), Kioso (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Cheltenham Town

While Peterborough may be experiencing a poor run of results, we think that they will prove too strong for a Cheltenham side bereft of confidence after losing six of their opening seven league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
55.87% (1.622 1.62) 22.9% (-0.152 -0.15) 21.23% (-1.463 -1.46)
Both teams to score 53.9% (-1.526 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (-1.055 -1.06)45.76% (1.063 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-1.012 -1.01)68.07% (1.019 1.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (0.193 0.19)16.21% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (0.343 0.34)45.7% (-0.336 -0.34)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32% (-1.969 -1.97)35.68% (1.977 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55% (-2.086 -2.09)72.45% (2.094 2.09)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 55.86%
    Cheltenham Town 21.23%
    Draw 22.9%
Peterborough UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.528 0.53)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.58% (0.541 0.54)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.363 0.36)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.18 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.257 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21.23%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Cheltenham

Peterborough United
71.4%
Draw
21.4%
Cheltenham Town
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Peterborough
0-3
Cheltenham
Bradbury (15'), May (21', 74')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cheltenham
2-3
Peterborough
Kent (30' og.), May (39')
Jackson (48'), Freestone (89')
Marriott (59'), Clarke-Harris (66', 72')
Fuchs (45+1'), Kent (61')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
Dec 28, 2008 3pm
Cheltenham
3-6
Peterborough
Vincent (48' pen.), Hammond (67'), Owusu (86')
Ridley (58')
Hayles (90')
Wright (75' og.), Whelpdale (90'), Lee (60'), Boyd (3'), Mackail-Smith (63'), McLean (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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