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EFL Cup
AFC Wimbledon
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Ipswich logo

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 2
Ipswich

Bugiel (40'), Stevens (56')
Lewis (61'), Johnson (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Al-Hamadi (3'), Chaplin (86')
Burgess (81'), Delap (90+4')
AFC Wimbledon win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last Game: Man City 4-1 Ipswich
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Ipswich Town

 While it has been a tough start at the top table for Ipswich, League Two opposition should give them the opportunity to get their season off and running, even if McKenna opts to change some personnel. Wimbledon have made a strong start, but they were no match for Ipswich in the FA Cup in January, and an even stronger squad could cause them more problems here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawIpswich Town
42.01% (0.368 0.37) 24.18% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 33.8% (-0.456 -0.46)
Both teams to score 60.17% (-0.452 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.69% (-0.533 -0.53)42.3% (0.533 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29% (-0.535 -0.54)64.71% (0.536 0.54)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)20.32% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.3% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)52.69% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (-0.508 -0.51)24.49% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.05% (-0.722 -0.72)58.94% (0.722 0.72)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 42.01%
    Ipswich Town 33.8%
    Draw 24.18%
AFC WimbledonDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.048 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.93% (0.173 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.32% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.8%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Ipswich

AFC Wimbledon
15.3%
Draw
10.6%
Ipswich Town
74.1%
85
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 12.30pm
Third Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Ipswich
Reeves (17' pen.)
Pell (26')
Pell (59')
Davison (8' og.), Tuanzebe (40'), Taylor (90')
Harness (33'), Edmundson (55'), Tuanzebe (70')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Ipswich

McCormick (54')
Burns (61', 86')
Edmundson (47'), Vincent-Young (86')
Vincent-Young (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ipswich
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Pigott (52' pen.), Burns (54')
Hladky (79')
Heneghan (58'), Rudoni (90+5')
Woodyard (16'), Hartigan (45'), Nightingale (52')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Ipswich
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Edwards (44')
Apr 13, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 21
AFC Wimbledon
3-0
Ipswich
Nightingale (21'), Rudoni (25'), Longman (86')
Rudoni (45+1')

Judge (58')
Harrop (28')
rhs 2.0
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