Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
45.32% ( 0.03) | 22.88% ( 0) | 31.8% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 64.16% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.26% ( -0.03) | 36.74% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.09% ( -0.04) | 58.91% ( 0.03) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.31% ( -0) | 16.69% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.43% ( -0) | 46.57% ( 0) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.01% ( -0.03) | 22.99% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.21% ( -0.05) | 56.79% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 4.39% Total : 45.32% | 1-1 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
6 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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