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Championship header 2

League One
Oxford United
League One | 1st Leg
May 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Peterborough United

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Peterborough

Moore (53')
Rodrigues (30'), Bennett (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mason-Clark (76'), Katongo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 3-3 Bolton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Peterborough United

 Oxford have already beaten Peterborough at the Kassam Stadium this month, and while we do not think that the score will be as wide as the recent 5-0 scoreline, we believe that the U's will make use of home advantage to record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
36.79% (-0.264 -0.26) 23.82% (0.061 0.06) 39.39% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 62.13% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01% (-0.31 -0.31)39.99% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)62.35% (0.324 0.32)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)21.81% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.414 -0.41)55.02% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)20.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-0.058 -0.06)53.05% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 36.79%
    Peterborough United 39.39%
    Draw 23.81%
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.79%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 39.39%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Peterborough

Oxford United
65.6%
Draw
15.6%
Peterborough United
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Oxford Utd
5-0
Peterborough
Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')

Katongo (18')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
3-0
Oxford Utd
Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

Bodin (63')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Peterborough
0-0
Oxford Utd
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
> Preview
Jul 27, 2021 5.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-0
Peterborough
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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