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Championship header 2

League One
Oxford United
League One | 1st Leg
May 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Peterborough United

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Peterborough

Moore (53')
Rodrigues (30'), Bennett (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mason-Clark (76'), Katongo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 3-3 Bolton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Peterborough United

 Oxford have already beaten Peterborough at the Kassam Stadium this month, and while we do not think that the score will be as wide as the recent 5-0 scoreline, we believe that the U's will make use of home advantage to record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
36.79% (-0.264 -0.26) 23.82% (0.061 0.06) 39.39% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 62.13% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01% (-0.31 -0.31)39.99% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)62.35% (0.324 0.32)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)21.81% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.414 -0.41)55.02% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)20.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-0.058 -0.06)53.05% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 36.79%
    Peterborough United 39.39%
    Draw 23.81%
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.79%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 39.39%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Peterborough

Oxford United
65.6%
Draw
15.6%
Peterborough United
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Oxford Utd
5-0
Peterborough
Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')

Katongo (18')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
3-0
Oxford Utd
Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

Bodin (63')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Peterborough
0-0
Oxford Utd
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
> Preview
Jul 27, 2021 5.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-0
Peterborough
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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