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Championship header 2

League One
Peterborough United
League One | 2nd Leg
May 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Oxford United

Peterborough
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Knight (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brannagan (45+3' pen.)
Harris (30'), Stevens (40'), Brown (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, May 4 at 7.45pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, May 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-2 Oxford United

 Peterborough's array of attacking talent will undoubtedly cause Oxford problems in Wednesday's second leg, but with the U's unbeaten in four away matches, we think that they will hold Posh to a draw to secure their place at Wembley. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
48.02% (-4.965 -4.97) 22.93% (1.272 1.27) 29.05% (3.692 3.69)
Both teams to score 62.28% (-1.308 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (-3.14 -3.14)38.5% (3.14 3.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.2% (-3.403 -3.4)60.79% (3.404 3.4)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.64% (-2.807 -2.81)16.35% (2.807 2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03% (-5.341 -5.34)45.96% (5.341 5.34)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.907 0.91)25.54% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (1.223 1.22)60.4% (-1.222 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 48.02%
    Oxford United 29.05%
    Draw 22.93%
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.402 0.4)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.704 -0.7)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.637 -0.64)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.369 -0.37)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.617 -0.62)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.513 -0.51)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.366 -0.37)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.343 -0.34)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 48.02%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.795 0.8)
2-2 @ 6.38% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.594 0.59)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.711 0.71)
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.936 0.94)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.722 0.72)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.397 0.4)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.095 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.365 0.37)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.16 0.16)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.05%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Oxford Utd

Peterborough United
58.6%
Draw
20.2%
Oxford United
21.2%
99
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
1-0
Peterborough
Moore (45')
Rodrigues (30'), Bennett (34')

Mason-Clark (78'), Katongo (97+3')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Oxford Utd
5-0
Peterborough
Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')

Katongo (18')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
3-0
Oxford Utd
Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

Bodin (63')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Peterborough
0-0
Oxford Utd
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
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4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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