Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.