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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
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Newport County

Reading
3 - 0
Newport

Knibbs (73', 87'), Wareham (75')
Mbengue (12'), Garcia (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Reading and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Reading
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One

Newport County

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Newport
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Reading 2-0 Newport County

 Reading's struggles this season have come on the road, with the Royals winning all but one of their nine home matches across all competitions so far, and this kind of home form will likely prove too much for struggling Newport to handle, which is why we are predicting a home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 62.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawNewport County
62.67% (0.134 0.13) 20.64% (-0.099 -0.1) 16.69% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.24% (0.274 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.37% (0.398 0.4)42.63% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.96% (0.395 0.39)65.03% (-0.396 -0.4)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (0.164 0.16)13.01% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.45% (0.333 0.33)39.54% (-0.333 -0.33)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2% (0.19900000000001 0.2)38.8% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (0.19 0.19)75.53% (-0.191 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Reading 62.66%
    Newport County 16.69%
    Draw 20.64%
ReadingDrawNewport County
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.14% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.64% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.45% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 62.66%
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.64%
0-1 @ 4.78% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 16.69%

How you voted: Reading vs Newport

Reading
85.4%
Draw
6.3%
Newport County
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2014 8pm
Round One
Reading
3-1
Newport
Pogrebnyak (20'), Blackman (87'), Tanner (90')
Cox (53'), Hector (78')
Jeffers (90')
Feely (34'), Jackson (64')
rhs 2.0
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