MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:06:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Ajax
4 - 0
Sparta

Tadic (6', 64' pen.), Taylor (27'), Kudus (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rosario (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-0 Union Berlin
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last Game: Sparta 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 12 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam

 While Ajax are naturally the favourites to prevail from this fixture, Sparta cannot be discounted, particularly given the home side's efforts earlier in the week. Nevertheless, we have to back Ajax to come through with three points, even if they are made to work hard for a maximum haul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 81.88%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 6.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawSparta Rotterdam
81.88% (-0.765 -0.77) 11.6% (0.472 0.47) 6.52% (0.2981 0.3)
Both teams to score 51.02% (-0.419 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.67% (-1.296 -1.3)27.34% (1.302 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.09% (-1.65 -1.65)47.91% (1.657 1.66)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.04% (-0.358 -0.36)4.97% (0.363 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.13% (-1.098 -1.1)19.87% (1.104 1.1)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.69% (-0.235 -0.23)46.31% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.04% (-0.18 -0.18)81.96% (0.18499999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 81.87%
    Sparta Rotterdam 6.52%
    Draw 11.6%
AjaxDrawSparta Rotterdam
3-0 @ 10.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.32 0.32)
3-1 @ 7.99% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.193 0.19)
4-0 @ 7.79% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.377 0.38)
4-1 @ 6% (-0.155 -0.15)
5-0 @ 4.68% (-0.209 -0.21)
5-1 @ 3.6% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.34% (-0.167 -0.17)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.075 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.8% (-0.141 -0.14)
5-2 @ 1.39% (-0.082 -0.08)
7-0 @ 1% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 81.87%
1-1 @ 5.31% (0.256 0.26)
2-2 @ 3.07% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.3% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 11.6%
1-2 @ 2.05% (0.085 0.09)
0-1 @ 1.77% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 6.52%

How you voted: Ajax vs Sparta

Ajax
90.9%
Draw
4.5%
Sparta Rotterdam
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 1.30pm
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

de Guzman (14')
Bergwijn (37')
Alvarez (32')
Apr 9, 2022 7pm
Ajax
2-1
Sparta
Klaassen (49'), Tadic (62' pen.)
De Kamps (33')
de Kamps (50'), Auassar (61'), Engels (64')
Nov 28, 2021 11.15am
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Engels (90+5'), Smeets (90+5')
Tadic (36')
Neres (90+4'), Maduro (90+5')
Feb 21, 2021 7pm
Ajax
4-2
Sparta
Haller (14', 37'), Schuurs (45+4'), Kudus (50')
Gravenberch (53', 90+1')
Heylen (55')
Sep 13, 2020 1.30pm
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Heylen (54'), Pinto (57')
Antony (37')
Gravenberch (17'), Blind (28'), Onana (86')
Tagliafico (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


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