Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 81.88%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 6.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
81.88% ( -0.77) | 11.6% ( 0.47) | 6.52% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.67% ( -1.3) | 27.34% ( 1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.09% ( -1.65) | 47.91% ( 1.66) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.04% ( -0.36) | 4.97% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.13% ( -1.1) | 19.87% ( 1.1) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.69% ( -0.23) | 46.31% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.04% ( -0.18) | 81.96% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
3-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 7.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 6% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.21) 5-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.14) 5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.08) 7-0 @ 1% ( -0.1) Other @ 4.29% Total : 81.87% | 1-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.92% Total : 11.6% | 1-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.71% Total : 6.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |