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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
64.59% ( 3.01) | 19.7% ( -1.01) | 15.71% ( -2.01) |
Both teams to score 54.25% ( -0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.81% ( 0.91) | 40.19% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.44% ( 0.93) | 62.56% ( -0.93) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.26% ( 1.12) | 11.73% ( -1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.12% ( 2.35) | 36.87% ( -2.35) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% ( -1.87) | 38.53% ( 1.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.72% ( -1.82) | 75.28% ( 1.82) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.49) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.27) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.88% Total : 64.58% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.7% | 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.46) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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