MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 09:42:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
NAC Breda

PSV
3 - 2
NAC Breda

Til (35', 45+1'), Pepi (90+4')
Perisic (45+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sauer (26'), Kostorz (90+6')
Kemper (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Red Star 2-3 PSV
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: NAC Breda 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, January 19 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 4-1 NAC Breda

PSV are huge favourites to come out on top, and we cannot envisage any other outcome than a win for them. We fully expect the home side to romp to an emphatic victory at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.22%. A draw had a probability of 7.9% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 3.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.55%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (1.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawNAC Breda
88.22% (0.627 0.63) 7.93% (-0.332 -0.33) 3.86% (-0.292 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.39% (-1.037 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.84% (0.157 0.16)20.17% (-0.155 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.67% (0.223 0.22)38.33% (-0.222 -0.22)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.15% (0.104 0.1)2.86% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.99% (0.364 0.36)13.01% (-0.362 -0.36)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.84% (-1.121 -1.12)49.16% (1.122 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.93% (-0.811 -0.81)84.07% (0.813 0.81)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 88.22%
    NAC Breda 3.86%
    Draw 7.93%
PSV EindhovenDrawNAC Breda
3-0 @ 10.52% (0.19 0.19)
4-0 @ 9.35% (0.256 0.26)
2-0 @ 8.88% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.47% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 6.65% (0.246 0.25)
4-1 @ 6.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.3% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-0 @ 4.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 4.72% (0.027 0.03)
6-0 @ 3.94% (0.184 0.18)
6-1 @ 2.8% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.087 -0.09)
7-0 @ 2% (0.112 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
7-1 @ 1.42% (0.036 0.04)
6-2 @ 0.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 88.22%
1-1 @ 3.55% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 2.24% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-0 @ 1.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 7.93%
1-2 @ 1.26% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 1% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 3.86%

How you voted: PSV vs NAC Breda

PSV Eindhoven
90.0%
Draw
3.3%
NAC Breda
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 12
NAC Breda
0-3
PSV

Lucassen (5'), Kemper (32')
Pepi (21'), Saibari (33'), Bakayoko (65')
Pepi (34'), Bakayoko (35')
Feb 8, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
PSV
4-0
NAC Breda
Madueke (8'), Gotze (28', 40'), Gakpo (79')
Mwene (31')

Agougil (6')
Mar 9, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 25
PSV
2-0
NAC Breda
De Jong (5'), Malen (71')
Angelino (15'), Malen (85')
Sep 29, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
NAC Breda
0-2
PSV

te Vrede (17'), Nijholt (51'), Rosheuvel (52')
De Jong (47'), Malen (92')
de Jong (51'), Rosario (58'), Lozano (75'), Zoet (91')
Mar 31, 2018 6.45pm
PSV
5-1
NAC Breda
Van Ginkel (37' pen.), Umar (59' og.), De Jong (76'), Mets (81' og.), Pereiro (84')
Bergwijn (41'), Hendrix (57')
Umar (65')
Ambrose (10'), Vloet (14'), Umar (41'), Mari (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV23164371264552
2Ajax21163245182751
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2312744236643
4Feyenoord22117446262040
5AZ AlkmaarAZ22124638211740
6FC Twente21106544301436
7Go Ahead Eagles2210574034635
8Groningen2376102232-1027
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2383122641-1527
10Fortuna SittardSittard2275102940-1126
11Heerenveen2275102641-1526
12NECNijmegen2173113230224
13PEC Zwolle2266102634-824
14Willem II2366112634-824
15Heracles225982839-1124
16Sparta RotterdamSparta2348111933-1420
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2245133145-1417
18Almere CityAlmere City2134141243-3113


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