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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 71.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
71.68% | 17.68% | 10.64% |
Both teams to score 46.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.86% | 43.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.46% | 65.54% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.3% | 10.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.39% | 34.6% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.73% | 48.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.57% | 83.43% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-0 @ 12.89% 1-0 @ 11.53% 3-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 5.37% 4-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 2.4% 5-1 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.82% Total : 71.66% | 1-1 @ 8.41% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.69% Total : 17.68% | 0-1 @ 3.76% 1-2 @ 3.06% 0-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.45% Total : 10.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |