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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 0-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Vitesse |
20.28% | 21.15% | 58.57% |
Both teams to score 58.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.89% | 39.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.56% | 61.44% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.18% | 32.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.62% | 69.38% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.9% | 13.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.27% | 39.73% |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 5.42% 1-0 @ 4.79% 2-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.34% Total : 20.28% | 1-1 @ 9.74% 2-2 @ 5.51% 0-0 @ 4.3% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.15% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 8.74% 1-3 @ 6.7% 0-3 @ 6.02% 2-3 @ 3.74% 1-4 @ 3.41% 0-4 @ 3.06% 2-4 @ 1.9% 1-5 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.61% Total : 58.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |