MX23RW : Monday, January 6 20:21:37| >> :600:169710:169710:
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Mestsky stadion - Vitkovice Arena

Banik Ostrava
5 - 1
Urartu

Ewerton (15'), Boula (22'), Buchta (26'), Prekop (62'), Klima (82' pen.)
Sin (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Tarakhchyan (90+4')
Aghasaryan (29'), Simonyan (81')
Margaryan (78')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Banik Ostrava and Urartu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bohemians 1905 2-1 Banik Ostrava
Saturday, July 20 at 4pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Urartu 2-0 Tallinna Kalev
Thursday, July 18 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banik Ostrava win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Urartu had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banik Ostrava win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Urartu win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banik Ostrava would win this match.

Result
Banik OstravaDrawUrartu
50.2% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 23.31% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 26.5% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.82% (0.136 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.85% (0.167 0.17)42.15% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (0.168 0.17)64.56% (-0.169 -0.17)
Banik Ostrava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08% (0.060999999999993 0.06)16.92% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.02% (0.108 0.11)46.98% (-0.11000000000001 -0.11)
Urartu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (0.11200000000001 0.11)29.21% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85% (0.139 0.14)65.15% (-0.14 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Banik Ostrava 50.2%
    Urartu 26.5%
    Draw 23.3%
Banik OstravaDrawUrartu
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.8% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 26.5%

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