We said: PAOK 2-0 Club Brugge (PAOK win 2-1 on aggregate)
While the visitors travel with a slender lead to defend, their squad is badly hit with key men missing at both ends of the pitch.
Given those extensive losses, particularly of Club Brugge's two top scorers, we back the Greek outfit to again overturn a deficit and prevail in the Europa Conference League.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.