Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla3 - 0PSV
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: PSV 6-0 Groningen
Saturday, February 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, February 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: Sevilla 2-1 PSV Eindhoven
On paper and current form, this feels like an extremely well-matched tie, and one that we expect to go the distance before a ball has been kicked. However, as far as Thursday is concerned, we are backing Sevilla to continue their recent resurgence and battle their way to victory by the goal in three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
36.86% ( -0.15) | 24.49% ( 0.02) | 38.66% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
