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Europa League
Sevilla logo
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
PSV

Sevilla
3 - 0
PSV

En-Nesyri (45+2'), Ocampos (50'), Gudelj (55')
Gudelj (59'), Lamela (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sevilla and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Last Game: Sevilla 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: PSV 6-0 Groningen
Saturday, February 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sevilla 2-1 PSV Eindhoven

 On paper and current form, this feels like an extremely well-matched tie, and one that we expect to go the distance before a ball has been kicked. However, as far as Thursday is concerned, we are backing Sevilla to continue their recent resurgence and battle their way to victory by the goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawPSV Eindhoven
36.86% (-0.154 -0.15) 24.49% (0.02 0.02) 38.66% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 59.61% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.74% (-0.107 -0.11)43.26% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.34% (-0.107 -0.11)65.66% (0.10600000000001 0.11)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.13 -0.13)23.25% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (-0.191 -0.19)57.17% (0.19 0.19)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68% (0.018999999999991 0.02)22.33% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03)55.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 36.86%
    PSV Eindhoven 38.66%
    Draw 24.48%
SevillaDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 36.86%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.26% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.66%

How you voted: Sevilla vs PSV

Sevilla
57.3%
Draw
17.3%
PSV Eindhoven
25.3%
225
rhs 2.0
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