The Match
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Wednesday, January 8 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 83.15%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 5.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.34%) and 4-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
83.15% ( -0.68) | 11.19% ( 0.42) | 5.65% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 46.8% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |