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Sutton United
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium

Sutton
0 - 2
Farnborough Town


Boldewijn (53'), Gambin (89'), Kouassi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Elias-Fernandes (86'), Amartey (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sutton United and Farnborough Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 3-0 Sutton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South

We said: Sutton United 3-0 Farnborough Town

Sutton have not been at the races in recent times, but there is still a big gulf in quality between the two sides. This game serves as a perfect opportunity for the U's to get their season back on track, and we think that they will win comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 62.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 16.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Farnborough Town win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
62.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.66% (0.0019999999999989 0) 16.45%
Both teams to score 52.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.85% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)43.15% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)65.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.26% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)39.74% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)39.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 62.88%
    Farnborough Town 16.45%
    Draw 20.66%
Sutton UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
2-0 @ 10.66%
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.73%
4-0 @ 3.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-2 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 62.88%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.17%
2-2 @ 4.62%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.66%
0-1 @ 4.81%
1-2 @ 4.55%
0-2 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.44%
1-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.45%

How you voted: Sutton vs Farnborough Town

Sutton United
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Farnborough Town
0.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
16Everton236892328-526
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