MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 16:56:19| >> :60:17:17:
Milan logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 1, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Real Madrid

Chukwueze (55')
Bakoune (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Real Madrid and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday night's friendly clash with AC Milan in the United States.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, June 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, July 27 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Real Madrid 1-2 AC Milan

Although most of the supporters will be cheering on Real Madrid at Soldier Field, we believe that AC Milan should have the advantage in the contest considering that they are further into their respective pre-season schedule. Los Blancos will be without leading talents Vinicius Jr and Rodrygo, so we expect their attack to be less potent in Chicago on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Real Madrid had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Real Madrid win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawReal Madrid
60.82% (0.832 0.83) 19.72% (-0.298 -0.3) 19.47% (-0.534 -0.53)
Both teams to score 62.27% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57% (0.62400000000001 0.62)33.43% (-0.625 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.78% (0.709 0.71)55.21% (-0.711 -0.71)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (0.401 0.4)10.72% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.34% (0.892 0.89)34.66% (-0.893 -0.89)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-0.133 -0.13)30.25% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (-0.159 -0.16)66.42% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 60.82%
    Real Madrid 19.47%
    Draw 19.72%
AC MilanDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.02% (0.121 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.113 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.4% (0.063 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.083 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.074 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.045 0.05)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 60.82%
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.24% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.72%
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 19.47%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs AC Milan

Real Madrid
72.3%
Draw
7.4%
AC Milan
20.2%
188
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2023 3.10am
Club Friendlies
Real Madrid
3-2
AC Milan
Valverde (57', 59'), Junior (84')
Tomori (25'), Romero (42')
Romero (47')
Aug 8, 2021 5.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Real Madrid
0-0
AC Milan
Calabria (40')
Jul 30, 2015 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Real Madrid
0-0
AC Milan
(Aggregate 0-0 | Real Madrid win 10-9 on penalties)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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