MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 02:09:08| >> :120:4223:4223:
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Trophee des Champions | Final
Jan 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Toulouse

PSG
2 - 0
Toulouse

Kang-in (3'), Mbappe (44')
Vitinha (46'), Hernandez (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Suazo (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Paris Saint-Germain ease to a record-extending 12th Trophee des Champions title with a 2-0 win over Toulouse thanks to Lee Kang-in and Kylian Mbappe's goals.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Metz
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Monaco
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 3-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
71.81% (0.386 0.39) 16.35% (-0.286 -0.29) 11.83% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 55.53% (0.805 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.75% (1.163 1.16)33.25% (-1.168 -1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.99% (1.323 1.32)55.01% (-1.327 -1.33)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.88% (0.37 0.37)8.12% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.49% (0.922 0.92)28.51% (-0.926 -0.93)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.43% (0.632 0.63)39.56% (-0.636 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75% (0.581 0.58)76.25% (-0.584 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 71.81%
    Toulouse 11.83%
    Draw 16.35%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
2-0 @ 10.12% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.48% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-1 @ 7.86% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 5.32% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.93% (0.139 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.101 0.1)
5-0 @ 2.67% (0.077 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.48% (0.113 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.103 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.071 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.12% (0.052 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.04% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 71.81%
1-1 @ 7.48% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.21% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.35%
1-2 @ 3.47% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.98% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.38% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 11.83%

How you voted: PSG vs Toulouse

Paris Saint-Germain
88.5%
Draw
5.8%
Toulouse
5.8%
52
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
Toulouse
1-1
PSG
Aboukhlal (87' pen.)
Mbappe (62' pen.)
Kang-in (45+1'), Ugarte (81'), Donnarumma (85')
Feb 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 22
PSG
2-1
Toulouse
Hakimi (38'), Messi (58')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Toulouse
0-3
PSG

Ratao (64')
Neymar (37'), Mbappe (50'), Bernat (90')
May 9, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 36
Toulouse
P-P
PSG
Aug 25, 2019 8pm
rhs 2.0
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