We said: Villarreal 2-2 Leicester City
This should be an open and entertaining match, as both teams will be able to call upon some exciting attacking players. Leicester's players will be bidding to impress their new manager, but Villarreal have a lot of quality, so we are finding it difficult to back a defeat for the Yellow Submarine.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match.