Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.29%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Ionikos win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AEK Athens in this match.