Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 45.21%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Ionikos win it was 0-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that OFI Crete would win this match.