We said: Cadiz 1-1 Celta Vigo
Celta do not win often on the road, especially at this venue, and Cadiz are tricky to beat on home soil, losing just three times here in 2023.
With a close encounter expected, both sides are set for a final day scrap to survive next weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match.