Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Valencia |
44.28% | 27.15% | 28.58% |
Both teams to score 48.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.25% | 56.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.3% | 77.7% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.51% | 25.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.67% | 60.33% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.7% | 35.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.95% | 72.06% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 12.29% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |