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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
San Mames Barria
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Athletic Bilbao
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Guruzeta (4', 39'), Djalo (80')
Berenguer (20'), Paredes (30'), Prados (52')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Aspas (25' pen.)
Sotelo (50'), Moriba (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last Game: Leganes 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, September 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Celta Vigo

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-1 Valladolid
Sunday, September 15 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Celta Vigo

 Celta have been excellent at home this season, but they have lost their two on their travels. Athletic have only actually won one of their three fixtures at San Mames this term, but we are expecting the Basque outfit to collect all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
53.07% (0.283 0.28) 24.03% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 22.89% (-0.333 -0.33)
Both teams to score 52.51% (-0.567 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (-0.556 -0.56)48.68% (0.557 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (-0.508 -0.51)70.79% (0.509 0.51)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (-0.101 -0.1)18.29% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)49.35% (0.174 0.17)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26% (-0.61399999999999 -0.61)35.74% (0.615 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49% (-0.637 -0.64)72.51% (0.639 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 53.07%
    Celta Vigo 22.89%
    Draw 24.03%
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.1% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53.07%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 22.89%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo

Athletic Bilbao
75.0%
Draw
17.9%
Celta Vigo
7.1%
112
Head to Head
May 15, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 36
Celta Vigo
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Swedberg (68'), Alvarez (71')
Starfelt (80'), Cervi (90+5')
Berenguer (23')
> Preview
Nov 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Athletic Bilbao
4-3
Celta Vigo
Sancet (37'), Guruzeta (45+5', 52'), Berenguer (90+8' pen.)
Simon (56'), Garcia (90+2')
Aspas (25'), Bamba (41'), Strand Larsen (66')
Aspas (39'), Guaita (90+5')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Celta Vigo
Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')
Strand Larsen (50')
de la Torre (65')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Celta Vigo
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Aspas (71')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Celta Vigo

Petxarroman (41'), Muniain (62')
Aspas (11'), Beltran (37')
Vazquez (51'), Tapia (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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