La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 at 4pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna3 - 2Celta Vigo
We said: Osasuna 1-2 Celta Vigo
Despite suffering a defeat in their last outing, Celta Vigo have demonstrated that they are capable of scoring goals in the early stages of the season, but Osasuna on the other hand appear to still be finding their shooting boots. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
44.91% ( 0.16) | 27.14% ( 0.04) | 27.95% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 47.85% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
