Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
50.38% ( 0.02) | 27.67% ( -0.02) | 21.96% |
Both teams to score 41.48% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.41% ( 0.07) | 62.6% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.83% ( 0.05) | 82.17% ( -0.05) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.84% ( 0.04) | 25.16% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.12% ( 0.06) | 59.88% ( -0.05) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.42% ( 0.04) | 44.58% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.41% ( 0.03) | 80.59% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 15.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
16 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |