Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.