La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
We said: Mallorca 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Three of the last four La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we are expecting another draw here. Athletic are a quality outfit, but Mallorca have been very impressive this season, and we are finding it very difficult to separate the two sides on Monday night.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 35.29% . A win for Mallorca had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.6% .
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.76%) . The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (12.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Mallorca Draw Athletic Bilbao 35.09% ( 0.14) 29.62% ( 0.18) 35.29% ( -0.32)
Both teams to score 43.16% ( -0.5)
36.11% ( -0.6) 63.89% ( 0.61)
16.89% ( -0.43) 83.11% ( 0.44)
65.63% ( -0.22) 34.37% ( 0.23)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 28.92% ( -0.24) 71.08% ( 0.25)
65.76% ( -0.53) 34.24% ( 0.54)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.06% ( -0.58) 70.94% ( 0.58)
Mallorca 35.08%
Athletic Bilbao 35.28%
Draw 29.61%
Mallorca Draw Athletic Bilbao 1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.3% Total : 35.08% 1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.61% 0-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.28%
How you voted: Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao
Mallorca
Draw
Athletic Bilbao
268
rhs 2.0
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